Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.395928 27.089598 31.109769 35.801488 41.117444 46.944331 53.805260
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 16.962419 21.966063 27.960593 35.628656 45.129664 56.464508 70.955245
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 12.838017 18.199128 25.133804 34.666226 47.318514 63.410729 85.281100
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.415149 15.934793 23.546593 34.647664 50.226686 71.080962 100.824647
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.751140 14.322344 22.448380 34.921713 53.280022 78.938703 117.040795
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.912452 12.085590 20.053739 32.901247 52.685111 81.481610 125.880964
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.161479 11.393553 19.830997 34.004234 56.659189 90.746997 144.931289
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.678515 11.049049 20.076100 35.805883 61.794536 102.056641 167.783362
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.816153 9.894989 18.815360 34.970236 62.598294 106.713507 180.731954
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.980618 8.642511 17.201399 33.310046 61.816555 108.706670 189.515889
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.805783 8.622868 17.772494 35.505293 67.706850 121.869518 217.097354
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.773549 8.879783 18.874293 38.749433 75.663628 138.966372 252.203960
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.363733 8.320364 18.411321 39.161371 78.839271 148.595533 276.166997
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.901806 7.573581 17.492902 38.626654 80.295285 155.481429 296.180822
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.459568 6.783073 16.364738 37.524385 80.545678 160.210332 312.726399
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.169577 6.294746 15.801944 37.490980 82.825054 168.741015 336.594917
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.942053 5.915475 15.420833 37.782371 85.751335 178.649385 363.596904
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.589705 5.133209 13.994978 35.613256 83.421815 178.375255 371.595100
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.480019 4.991130 14.064738 36.797106 88.197309 192.167773 407.100871
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.418827 4.975917 14.442844 38.730384 94.738243 209.872642 451.211874
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.227008 4.530215 13.665347 37.833761 94.997818 214.967019 470.941117
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.024599 4.001373 12.583317 36.051969 93.085020 215.441739 481.456497
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.007239 4.071250 13.131185 38.407874 100.844012 236.569038 534.972028